{"id":1171,"date":"2019-01-12T18:19:49","date_gmt":"2019-01-12T11:19:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fsb-web.tranbang.work\/10-du-doan-ve-kinh-te-toan-cau-nam-2019\/"},"modified":"2019-01-12T18:19:49","modified_gmt":"2019-01-12T11:19:49","slug":"10-du-doan-ve-kinh-te-toan-cau-nam-2019-s244","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fsb.edu.vn\/en\/10-du-doan-ve-kinh-te-toan-cau-nam-2019-s244.html","title":{"rendered":"10 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n v\u1ec1 kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2019"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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\t\tIHS Markit d\u1ef1 \u0111oán t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng toàn c\u1ea7u s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m t\u1eeb 3,2% t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2018 xu\u1ed1ng còn 3,1% trong n\u0103m 2019, và ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gi\u1ea3m trong các n\u0103m t\u1edbi.<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/div>\n
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\t\tT\u1eeb n\u0103m 2018<\/strong>, kinh t\u1ebf toàn c\u1ea7u b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd và \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u1ed9, Nh\u01b0ng khi n\u0103m 2018 trôi qua, \u0111à phát tri\u1ec3n tr\u1edf nên ch\u1eadm d\u1ea7n, nh\u1ea1t nhòa, các xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111i l\u1ec7ch d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn ban \u0111\u1ea7u. N\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 t\u0103ng t\u1ed1c nh\u1edd các chính sách kích thích tài khóa vào \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m nay, trong khi \u0111ó, kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a EU, Anh, Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n và Trung Qu\u1ed1c b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u suy y\u1ebfu. Nh\u1eefng khác bi\u1ec7t này s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i trong n\u0103m 2019.<\/span><\/span>
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\t\tM\u1ed9t r\u1ee7i ro khác t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i<\/strong> trong n\u0103m nay là s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh v\u1ec1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c h\u01a1n 5% vào \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2018 xu\u1ed1ng g\u1ea7n b\u1eb1ng 0% vào cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m. Các xung \u0111\u1ed9t th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i leo thang \u0111\u1ea9y giá tr\u1ecb th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi xu\u1ed1ng th\u1ea5p, kéo theo s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh trong n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf toàn c\u1ea7u. \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, nh\u1eefng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c t\u0103ng lãi su\u1ea5t, t\u0103ng v\u1ed1n ch\u1ee7 s\u1edf h\u1eefu và bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng trên th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng hàng hóa cho th\u1ea5y \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n tài chính th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111ang th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t. Nh\u1eefng r\u1ee7i ro này báo hi\u1ec7u n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf toàn c\u1ea7u s\u1ebd nh\u1ea1y c\u1ea3m, d\u1ec5 t\u1ed5n th\u01b0\u01a1ng h\u01a1n tr\u01b0\u1edbc nh\u1eefng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai, kéo theo \u0111ó là kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng suy thoái kinh t\u1ebf gia t\u0103ng trong vài n\u0103m t\u1edbi.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n
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\t\t1. Kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd v\u01b0\u1ee3t m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng chung<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/div>\n
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\t\tN\u0103m 2018<\/strong>, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ea1t 2,9%, m\u1eb7c dù s\u1ef1 phát tri\u1ec3n này ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu do chính sách tài khóa d\u01b0\u1edbi hình th\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m thu\u1ebf và t\u0103ng chi tiêu. Tác \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a bi\u1ec7n pháp này v\u1eabn duy trì \u0111\u1ebfn n\u0103m 2019, nh\u01b0ng s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m d\u1ea7n trong các n\u0103m sau. D\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ea1t 2,6% trong n\u0103m 2019 – gi\u1ea3m so v\u1edbi n\u0103m 2018, nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn s\u1ebd cao h\u01a1n m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng chung toàn c\u1ea7u.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n
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\t\t2. T\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 phát tri\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a châu Âu s\u1ebd ch\u1eadm h\u01a1n<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/div>\n
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\t\tT\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a EU<\/strong> \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ec9nh vào n\u1eeda cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2017 và gi\u1ea3m d\u1ea7n k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb \u0111ó. IHS Markit d\u1ef1 \u0111oán m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng này s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m còn 1,5% trong n\u0103m 2019. Các bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng chính tr\u1ecb bao g\u1ed3m Brexit, nh\u1eefng thách th\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi chính ph\u1ee7 Emmanuel Macron và vi\u1ec7c Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng \u0110\u1ee9c Angela Merkel "ngh\u1ec9 h\u01b0u" là nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 khi\u1ebfn tình hình kinh t\u1ebf ngày càng \u0111i xu\u1ed1ng. Các y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 khác nh\u01b0 th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t các \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n tín d\u1ee5ng và c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i leo thang c\u0169ng tác \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 suy gi\u1ea3m t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u1edf châu Âu.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n
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\t\t3. S\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i c\u1ee7a Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n v\u1eabn còn y\u1ebfu, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf d\u01b0\u1edbi 1% vào n\u0103m 2019<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/div>\n
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\t\tN\u0103m 2018<\/strong>, n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Nh\u1eadt d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng 0,8%. Trong n\u0103m 2019, t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 này ch\u1ec9 t\u0103ng nh\u1eb9 lên 0,9%. S\u1ef1 suy gi\u1ea3m c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c và h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 do c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 – Trung \u0111ã h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf s\u1ef1 phát tri\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n, M\u1eb7c dù ng\u01b0\u1eddi Nh\u1eadt n\u1ed5i ti\u1ebfng v\u1edbi n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t làm vi\u1ec7c cao, tuy nhiên, vi\u1ec7c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u1ea3m s\u1ebd gây \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ebfn n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf. V\u1ec1 Abenomics, m\u1ed9t gói kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 mô d\u1ef1a trên “3 m\u0169i tên” g\u1ed3m n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7, kích thích tài chính và c\u1ea3i cách c\u01a1 c\u1ea5u, \u0111ã cho th\u1ea5y nh\u1eefng h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n
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\t\t4. Trung Qu\u1ed1c ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c suy gi\u1ea3m<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/div>\n
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\t\tT\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng hàng quý<\/strong> c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c liên t\u1ee5c gi\u1ea3m k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2017, ch\u1ea1m m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong 10 n\u0103m vào quý III\/2018. T\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng hàng n\u0103m ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i t\u1eeb 6,7% trong n\u0103m 2017 xu\u1ed1ng còn 6,6% vào n\u0103m 2018, và gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng còn 6,3% trong n\u0103m 2019. \u0110\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed1i phó v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh t\u1ebf g\u1ea7n \u0111ây, bao g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 tác \u0111\u1ed9ng thu\u1ebf quan c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9, các nhà ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh chính sách Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111ã \u0111\u01b0a ra m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1t bi\u1ec7n pháp tài chính và ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 nh\u1eb1m h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng và \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng tài chính.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n
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\t\tTuy nhiên, nh\u1eefng bi\u1ec7n pháp này v\u1eabn còn khá khiêm t\u1ed1n. T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng tín d\u1ee5ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c b\u1ecb kìm hãm b\u1edfi các kho\u1ea3n n\u1ee3 kh\u1ed5ng l\u1ed3 và cam k\u1ebft gi\u1ea3m n\u1ee3 trong trung và dài h\u1ea1n c\u1ee7a chính ph\u1ee7. M\u1eb7t khác, các n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c kích thích kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a chính ph\u1ee7 có th\u1ec3 phát huy t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n n\u1ebfu c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u1edbi M\u1ef9 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c leo thang và t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c b\u1ecb t\u1ed5n h\u1ea1i nghiêm tr\u1ecdng.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n
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\t\t5. T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a các th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng còn 4,6% vào n\u0103m 2019<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/div>\n
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\t\tM\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf<\/strong>, g\u1ed3m: Brazil, \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 và Nga \u0111ã t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng nh\u1eb9 trong n\u0103m 2018, trong khi Argentina, Nam Phi và Th\u1ed5 Nh\u0129 K\u1ef3 ph\u1ea3i h\u1ee9ng ch\u1ecbu nh\u1eefng áp l\u1ef1c tài chính và s\u1ef1 suy thoái. Trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai, các th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 b\u1ea5t l\u1ee3i, g\u1ed3m: t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u1eadm \u1edf các n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0111ã phát tri\u1ec3n và m\u1ee9c s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m trong t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, \u0111\u1ed3ng USD m\u1ea1nh, các \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n tài chính b\u1ecb th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t, b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n chính tr\u1ecb gia t\u0103ng \u1edf các qu\u1ed1c gia nh\u01b0 Brazil và Mexico.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n
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\t\t6. Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng hàng hóa có tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/div>\n
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\t\tTrong n\u0103m 2019<\/strong>, nhu c\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng hàng hóa t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng nên s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 giá c\u1ea3 nh\u01b0 n\u0103m 2015 là \u0111i\u1ec1u không th\u1ec3. Tuy nhiên, s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng trong th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng này v\u1eabn ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t là \u1edf các th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf. D\u1ef1 \u0111oán, giá d\u1ea7u s\u1ebd t\u0103ng trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi, trung bình kho\u1ea3ng 70 USD\/ thùng trong n\u0103m 2019.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n
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\t\t7. T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 l\u1ea1m phát toàn c\u1ea7u duy trì \u1edf m\u1ee9c g\u1ea7n 3,0%<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/div>\n
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\t\tBên c\u1ea1nh \u0111ó, l\u1ea1m phát \u1edf các n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111ã phát tri\u1ec3n d\u1ef1 \u0111oán là 2,0%.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n
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\t\tNhi\u1ec1u n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf<\/strong> s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng áp l\u1ef1c l\u1ea1m phát khi chênh l\u1ec7ch gi\u1eefa GDP th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf và GDP ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng ngày càng bé và t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p gi\u1ea3m. Trong m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p, các y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 này \u1edf m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p trong nhi\u1ec1u th\u1eadp k\u1ef7, s\u1ebd gây nên áp l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m phát.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n
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\t\t8. Fed và m\u1ed9t vài ngân hàng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng khác s\u1ebd t\u0103ng lãi su\u1ea5t<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/div>\n
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\t\tC\u1ee5c d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Liên bang M\u1ef9<\/strong> có th\u1ec3 t\u0103ng lãi su\u1ea5t 3 l\u1ea7n trong n\u0103m 2019. Các ngân hàng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng khác bao g\u1ed3m ngân hàng Anh, Canada và m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 ngân hàng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng thu\u1ed9c các th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i nh\u01b0 Brazil, \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9, Nga có th\u1ec3 c\u0169ng làm hành \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n
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\t\tCác ngân hàng Châu Âu<\/strong> s\u1ebd không t\u0103ng lãi su\u1ea5t cho \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2020. D\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn, ngân hàng Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n c\u0169ng s\u1ebd không d\u1eebng chính sách lãi su\u1ea5t âm cho \u0111\u1ebfn n\u0103m 2021. Ngân hàng Nhân dân Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111i theo h\u01b0\u1edbng ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, lo l\u1eafng v\u1ec1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng, ngân hàng này ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c tung ra nh\u1eefng gói kích thích khiêm t\u1ed1n.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n
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\t\t9. \u0110\u1ed3ng USD gi\u1eef v\u1eefng s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i trong n\u0103m 2019<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/div>\n
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\t\tN\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng<\/strong> và vi\u1ec7c Fed t\u0103ng lãi su\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n là nh\u1eefng c\u0103n c\u1ee9 chính cho d\u1ef1 \u0111oán này. V\u1edbi s\u1ef1 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh g\u1ea7n \u0111ây c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t là \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n t\u1eeb các th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i, thì vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ed3ng USD t\u0103ng giá d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 là \u0111i\u1ec1u không th\u1ec3.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n
\t\t <\/div>\n
\t\tTuy nhiên, bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng hoàn toàn có th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra. B\u1ea5t \u1ed5n chính tr\u1ecb \u1edf Châu Âu có th\u1ec3 gây \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng x\u1ea5u \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed3ng euro và \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u1ea3ng Anh. D\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn, t\u1ef7 giá \u0111\u1ed3ng euro\/ \u0111\u1ed3ng USD trong cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2019 là kho\u1ea3ng 1,1 USD so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c 1,14 USD vào cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2018. \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, t\u1ef7 giá \u0111\u1ed3ng nhân dân t\u1ec7\/ USD gi\u1eef \u1edf m\u1ee9c \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, d\u01b0\u1edbi 7,0. \u0110ây c\u0169ng là con s\u1ed1 mà chính ph\u1ee7 Trung Qu\u1ed1c mong mu\u1ed1n nh\u1eb1m \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh tài chính.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n
\t\t <\/div>\n
\t\t10. R\u1ee7i ro t\u1eeb các cú s\u1ed1c chính sách t\u0103ng lên, nh\u01b0ng không \u0111\u1ee7 gây ra suy thoái kinh t\u1ebf vào n\u0103m 2019<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/div>\n
\t\t <\/div>\n
\t\tNh\u1eefng sai l\u1ea7m trong vi\u1ec7c ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh chính sách<\/strong> v\u1eabn là m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng toàn c\u1ea7u trong n\u0103m 2019 và các n\u0103m sau \u0111ó, bao g\u1ed3m: xung \u0111\u1ed9t th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i có th\u1ec3 leo thang và v\u01b0\u1ee3t kh\u1ecfi t\u1ea7m ki\u1ec3m soát; thâm h\u1ee5t ngân sách \u1edf M\u1ef9; m\u1ee9c n\u1ee3 cao \u1edf M\u1ef9, châu Âu và Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n cùng nh\u1eefng sai l\u1ea7m c\u1ee7a các ngân hàng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ec1u s\u1ebd gây ra nh\u1eefng m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda cho n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf toàn c\u1ea7u.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n
\t\t <\/div>\n
\t\tTin t\u1ed1t<\/strong> là kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a các sai l\u1ea7m này \u0111\u1ebfn t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng toàn c\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2019 v\u1eabn còn t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ea5p. Tuy nhiên, IHS Market d\u1ef1 \u0111oán r\u1eb1ng h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 t\u1eeb các sai l\u1ea7m chính sách s\u1ebd t\u0103ng lên trong n\u0103m 2020 và các n\u0103m sau, khi\u1ebfn t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i.<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n
\t\t <\/div>\n
\t\t(Ngu\u1ed3n: Cafef)<\/span><\/span><\/em><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

\t\t <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

IHS Markit d\u1ef1 \u0111oán t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng toàn c\u1ea7u s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m t\u1eeb 3,2% t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2018 xu\u1ed1ng còn 3,1% trong n\u0103m 2019, và ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gi\u1ea3m trong các n\u0103m t\u1edbi.   T\u1eeb n\u0103m 2018, kinh t\u1ebf toàn c\u1ea7u b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd và \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u1ed9, Nh\u01b0ng khi n\u0103m 2018 trôi qua, \u0111à phát tri\u1ec3n …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1172,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1171","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cafe-doanh-nhan-e253"],"yoast_head":"\n10 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n v\u1ec1 kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2019 - FPT Education<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/fsb.edu.vn\/10-du-doan-ve-kinh-te-toan-cau-nam-2019-s244.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"10 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n v\u1ec1 kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2019 - 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